Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 2551.465563 2761.261162 2973.743094 3204.757155 3448.531769 3697.825442 3971.726162
2025-02-09 2198.493509 2509.507458 2836.314129 3204.143117 3605.433401 4028.791861 4508.023472
2025-02-16 1954.728568 2323.196716 2721.182626 3180.606403 3693.898162 4247.355091 4886.821463
2025-02-23 1804.899948 2218.775341 2676.107702 3215.011536 3828.668012 4501.796512 5291.994731
2025-03-02 1659.967888 2105.120774 2607.362740 3210.242758 3908.435923 4685.891687 5611.209850
2025-03-09 1566.902836 2042.674324 2589.376157 3256.242518 4039.782883 4923.451495 5987.391372
2025-03-16 1446.018028 1938.356009 2514.570160 3228.690959 4079.706649 5051.380689 6234.315254
2025-03-23 1389.509390 1907.322660 2522.823583 3295.824529 4227.843537 5302.809672 6623.333790
2025-03-30 1313.504254 1847.150193 2491.515557 3311.603554 4311.944755 5477.247250 6921.407318
2025-04-06 1238.348202 1783.502610 2451.971308 3313.772712 4376.780853 5626.873900 7189.077546
2025-04-13 1126.019912 1666.277336 2340.340383 3221.940012 4322.846878 5631.023737 7280.705872
2025-04-20 1107.733981 1670.296461 2380.628113 3318.815582 4500.184469 5913.791663 7707.245808
2025-04-27 1073.880125 1652.884330 2393.550671 3382.211012 4638.297860 6152.516294 8085.979726
2025-05-04 1014.969448 1598.942283 2356.964479 3380.782147 4694.424861 6290.988230 8343.920402
2025-05-11 951.302760 1535.184240 2304.581637 3356.319769 4719.308851 6389.463806 8552.094296
2025-05-18 915.511370 1508.289121 2299.501255 3392.092536 4819.913763 6581.489542 8875.761786
2025-05-25 867.008959 1460.963043 2264.856462 3387.134421 4866.893941 6705.809081 9115.511643
2025-06-01 840.702738 1444.147949 2270.582193 3434.957320 4981.702897 6915.448297 9462.268401
2025-06-08 789.504529 1388.513956 2220.737765 3406.314656 4995.345086 6996.231877 9647.343073
2025-06-15 774.609983 1385.853798 2243.940214 3476.102402 5138.112633 7241.549240 10040.373132
2025-06-22 743.161561 1356.766997 2228.745144 3492.503079 5209.757561 7395.890064 10318.963864
2025-06-29 709.058325 1322.015743 2204.125155 3494.757631 5261.762180 7524.633220 10565.239205
2025-07-06 647.398824 1241.552816 2111.069921 3399.295963 5180.439425 7479.117399 10587.582734